Product launch intelligence

Know if your new product actually grew the business.

RolloutGrade combines transaction data, customer feedback, and market evidence to measure the true incremental impact of a product launch — then tells you whether to roll out, retest, or stop.

Built for multi-location food, beverage, and specialty retail brands.

$150 / seat / month · $299 per launch test · Fully self-serve

Strawberry Cloud Matcha

Launch example

Analysis ready
Responses
126
Target 100
Sales rows
112
100% valid
Evidence
A
High confidence

Primary finding

Incremental profit / 100 transactions

+$18.40

Locked threshold $12.00

Threshold met

Recommended action

Roll out

Profit and control-adjusted sales cleared the locked rule with sufficient evidence.

Sample decision

Strawberry Cloud Matcha

● Roll out
+$18.40
Incremental profit / 100 transactions
+9.4%
Control-adjusted unit lift
29.5%
Cannibalization
22%
New customers
A
Evidence quality

The launch created enough incremental profit to exceed the company's pre-set rollout threshold.

See exactly how RolloutGrade reached this decision

Not “how did the new product sell?” — did it create new value?

Most launches look successful because the new item sells. The real question is whether those sales were extra, or simply moved from something the customer was already going to buy.

RolloutGrade traces every unit back to the lines that lost volume in the same locations over the same weeks. Only what is left counts as growth.

In the sample launch

Truly new demand70.5%
Cannibalized existing sales29.5%

1,284 units sold looked like a win. Only 905 of them were genuinely new — worth +$5,196 in net category profit after displaced sales.

What you put in

Three evidence layers. One commercial answer.

Each launch test keeps behavioral, attitudinal, and qualitative evidence separate. The economic result leads; surveys and reviews explain why.

01

Transaction data & costs

Daily location sales, transactions, item units, baskets, unit cost, waste, stockouts, promotions, and comparison-location trends.

Input
Standard transaction export + unit economics
Delivers
Incremental profit, adjusted lift, cannibalization, and basket impact
02

Customer survey

A test-specific survey captures new vs. returning customers, incremental demand, repeat intent, awareness, favorability, and the reasons behind the launch's pull.

Input
Anonymous responses from the test survey
Delivers
Demand creation, repeat potential, and reasons to modify
03

External & location reviews

Upload external or location-review evidence to see whether the launch's strengths and friction recur beyond the survey sample.

Input
Normalized review file from existing sources
Delivers
Cross-location themes, rating context, and launch-mentioned share

Final deliverable

A traceable Roll out, Retest, or Do not roll out report

  • Incremental contribution profit
  • Control-adjusted sales lift
  • Cannibalization & basket impact
  • Customer & repeat-demand impact
  • External review themes
  • Rollout profit forecast & action verdict

The RolloutGrade method

Analytical discipline. Launch-speed decisions.

Each test answers one commercial question: did this launch create enough incremental value to deserve a wider rollout?

  1. 01

    Test design

    Lock the business question

    Define the launch, hypothesis, comparison locations, guardrails, and profit threshold before the result is visible.

  2. 02

    Customer evidence

    Capture demand in market

    A test-specific customer survey measures incremental demand, new customers, repeat intent, and the reasons people would — or would not — buy again.

  3. 03

    Data integration

    Connect sales and costs

    Upload a standardized daily-location file. RolloutGrade validates every row before it enters the analysis.

  4. 04

    Decision intelligence

    Read the verdict

    See profit impact, cannibalization, demand signals, limitations, and an evidence grade in one defensible report.

From data to decision

One report. Separate evidence streams.

Sales, profit, cannibalization, customer attitudes, and test limitations stay distinct — so a strong survey score can never hide weak economics.

Economic outcome
Control-adjusted profit, sales, substitution, and guardrails.
Incremental & repeat demand
Added visits, new customers, reorder intent, and reasons for the change.
Evidence quality
Sample, completeness, confounders, and limitations shown upfront.
External review context
Recurring themes across locations, separated from the success rule.

RolloutGrade findings

Strawberry Cloud Matcha

New item · 3 test stores vs 2 control stores · 6 weeks · calc v1

Sample
Verdict · Roll outEvidence grade A

Incremental profit / 100 transactions

+$18.40

Threshold $12.00

Gross new-item profit / 100 transactions

+$26.10

Before cannibalization

Lost profit from cannibalization

−$7.70

29.5% of gross

Control-adjusted unit lift

+9.4%

Category units vs control

Cannibalization of existing sales

29.5% of new-item units replaced something the customer already bought

Every unit is traced back to the items that lost volume in the same stores over the same weeks, control-adjusted. Only the remainder counts as incremental profit.

Item losing volumeUnits beforeUnits duringChangeShare of cannibalizationProfit impact
Iced Matcha Latte612494-11851%−$392
Strawberry Refresher388331-5724%−$188
Cold Brew (16oz)502478-2410%−$79
Bottled juice214203-115%−$31
All other lines in the category19461923-2310%−$74
Total displaced3,6623,429-233100%−$764

Truly new demand

70.5%

905 of 1,284 units were extra visits or added to a basket

Margin rescue

+$1.12

Displaced items averaged $3.52 margin vs $4.64 for the new item

Net category profit

+$5,196

$5,960 new-item profit − $764 displaced profit

Transaction detail

Units sold (test stores)
1,284
6 weeks · 3 stores
Attach rate
7.1%
of 18,060 transactions
Average unit price
$6.50
no discounting
Recipe cost / unit
$1.86
28.6% COGS
Contribution margin / unit
$4.64
71.4%
Waste
3.2%
41 units · −$266
Stockout days
2
excluded from lift
Avg transaction with item
$14.20
vs $11.05 without
Basket size with item
2.4 items
vs 2.1 without
Repeat purchase rate
31%
same-card repeat, 6 wks
Weekday / weekend split
58 / 42
% of units
Daypart peak
2–5pm
46% of units

Store-by-store

StoreRoleUnitsAttachInc. / 100
RiversideTest5128.0%+$22.10
Harbor StTest4316.9%+$17.80
UptownTest3416.3%+$14.60
LakeviewControl−$0.90
MidtownControl+$1.40

Week by week

Units settle after the novelty spike while incremental profit rises — the item stops stealing from the rest of the range.

Wk 1
268u+$11.20
Wk 2
241u+$14.60
Wk 3
212u+$17.10
Wk 4
199u+$19.40
Wk 5
186u+$20.20
Wk 6
178u+$20.80

Customer evidence

126 survey responses · 4.4 average store review rating · 38 reviews mention the item

Return intent (4–5 of 5)71%
Influenced the visit32%
New customers22%
Would have bought something else30%
Favorability (top 2 box)68%

Limitations and confounders

  • Two stockout days at Harbor St removed from the lift calculation.
  • One control store ran a loyalty promotion in week 4; that week is weighted down.
  • Cannibalization is measured on category units, not individual customer switching.
  • Six weeks captures novelty decay but not a full seasonal cycle.

Finding traced to 112 sales rows, 126 survey responses, and 38 reviews. Every number above is recomputed from source rows — nothing is typed in by hand.

Simple self-serve pricing

Platform access plus each launch test you run.

No onboarding calls required. Your team designs the test, collects customer feedback, uploads the three evidence layers, and generates the report inside RolloutGrade.

Platform access

Per user · billed monthly

$150 / seat / month

Your always-on launch system

  • Your launch workspace and team access
  • Historical library of every launch you have tested
  • Benchmarks across locations and past launches
  • Ongoing sales and review monitoring between tests
  • Survey management and reusable question sets
  • Launch planning and hypothesis design tools
+

Each Product Launch Test

One launch test and decision report

$299 / launch test

The decision event

  • Locked success threshold and comparison locations
  • Full incremental profit and cannibalization calculation
  • Survey and review evidence tied to the result
  • Evidence grade and Roll out / Retest / Stop verdict

The monthly seat keeps your workspace, launch history, benchmarks, surveys, and monitoring running between tests. The $299 covers the analysis and decision report for a specific launch — you only pay it when you run one.

Create your self-serve workspace

Make the next product launch decision with evidence.

Define the change, run the test, and get a documented verdict.

Create your launch workspace